YWR: Your Weekend Reading

YWR: Your Weekend Reading

YWR: 10 Reasons we go higher.

Erik's avatar
Erik
May 26, 2026
∙ Paid

The market is booming.

My plan is to buy a small amount every week, but it’s scary to add here. Maybe this is the top.

Or, maybe we under estimate the scale of what’s happening and the S&P is going to $10,000.

I put together our monthly Killer Chart pack (link to the full slide deck below), and as I was going over the slides, it painted the picture of a market which can go higher.

Let me explain.

10 slides which suggest the market can go higher.

#1 Everyone is talking about MAG7, but the other 493 stocks are really starting to pick up too. The boom we’ve been talking about is widening out. Earnings for the ‘493’ grew 17% in Q1.

#2 EPS estimates keep getting revised higher and assumptions for 2027 might be conservative. In 2027 Info Tech is supposed to growth +25% (compared to +40%) in 2026, but energy earnings are supposed to decline 6%. That looks wrong. Energy has been a top growth surprise in 2026 (along with memory) and looks set up to surprise again in 2027.

390.00 
365.00 
355.00 
290.00 
350.00 
340.00 
300.00 
345.00 
375.00 
310.00 
400.00 
305.00 
395.00 
360.00 
385.00 
380.00 
370.00 
335.00 
330.00 
295.00 
325.00 
320.00 
315.00 
05/20/2025 
05/28/2025 
06/04/2025 
06/11/2025 
06/18/2025 
06/26/2025 
07/03/2025 
07/11/2025 
07/18/2025 
S&P 500 CY 2026 & CY 2027 Bottom-Up EPS: 1-Year 
07/25/2025 
08/01/2025 
08/08/2025 
08/15/2025 
08/22/2025 
-- - CY 2027 Bottom-Up EPS 
1 
08/29/2025 
09/08/2025 
09/15/2025 
2 
09/22/2025 
09/29/2025 
10/06/2025 
(Source: FactSet) 
10/13/2025 
10/20/2025 
10/27/2025 
11/03/2025 
11/10/2025 
11/17/2025 
- CY 2026 Bottom-Up EPS 
11/24/2025 
12/02/2025 
12/09/2025 
12/16/2025 
12/23/2025 
12/31/2025 
01/08/2026 
01/15/2026 
01/23/2026 
01/30/2026 
02/06/2026 
02/13/2026 
02/23/2026 
03/02/2026 
03/09/2026 
03/16/2026 
03/23/2026 
03/30/2026 
04/07/2026 
04/14/2026 
04/21/2026 
04/28/2026 
05/05/2026 
334.73 
05/12/2026 
385.23 
05/19/2026
S&P 500 Earnings Growth (Y/Y): CY 2027 
(Source: FactSet) 
30.0% 
25.0% 
20.0% 
15.0% 
10.0% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
-5.0% 
-10.0% 
Info 
Technology 
Health Care 
Industrials 
S&P 500 
Consumer 
Disc. 
Financials 
Materials 
Utilities 
Consumer 
Comm. 
Staples 
Services 
Real Estate 
Energy 
_Today 
27.3% 
18.8% 
16.0% 
15.8% 
14.0% 
11.3% 
10.9% 
9.6% 
8.0% 
7.8% 
6.8% 
-6.4% 
31-Mar 
24.5% 
14.2% 
16.9% 
16.6% 
17.3% 
12.0% 
14.4% 
9.7% 
8.4% 
16.3% 
6.9% 
5.0%

#3 The S&P is rerating to 25x. Fiddle around with your Gordon Growth model and tell me the right P/E for an index growing earnings consistently at +10%/yr over decades with a risk free rate of 4%? It’s a really high number. We are fighting it, but I think the S&P wants to trade at 25x. 25x on a $400 EPS and we have S&P $10,000.

#4 Investors don’t see the boom underway. They think it is stagflation. They don’t see the triple layered boom. That skepticism is bullish.

#5 Hedge funds aren’t overly bullish. Unlike in 2021 when net exposure got to 85%. Hedge fund net exposure is at 77%. Above average, but not extreme. They are nervous about the direction of the market and prefer to make their money through long/short bets with high gross. This is a positive sign. They aren’t getting carried away.

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