YWR: Your Weekend Reading

YWR: Your Weekend Reading

YWR: Why 10yrs go to 6%

Erik's avatar
Erik
May 22, 2026
∙ Paid

I see three reasons 10yr yields can move to 6%.

I’m not wild about this view, but let’s go through it.

The Backdrop: Inflation never died.

Think back to pre-COVID. If I told I had a crystal ball and the Fed was going to raise rates from 0% to 5%, you would have said the economy would crash. No way consumer and businesses can withstand a yield shock like …

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